Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 108.133333 119.966341 132.172090 145.675626 160.168770 175.229783 192.036580
2024-10-13 89.140105 106.535088 125.430057 147.360254 171.991811 198.684784 229.677516
2024-10-20 72.343577 93.029362 116.648118 145.313457 178.858023 216.570934 261.866386
2024-10-27 59.766317 82.515323 109.752768 144.199497 186.016844 234.561282 294.571546
2024-11-03 52.521884 77.328746 108.309813 148.908128 199.738478 260.320871 336.973727
2024-11-10 46.035348 72.152362 106.112082 152.110396 211.342577 283.618219 376.951704
2024-11-17 40.955887 68.109079 104.768320 155.939033 223.500802 307.654061 418.255764
2024-11-24 37.026647 65.110121 104.370462 160.686944 236.716884 333.141369 461.816959
2024-12-01 30.622797 57.650370 97.050462 155.404655 236.230499 340.854302 482.873609
2024-12-08 26.073079 52.379871 92.260818 153.076539 239.265494 352.858923 509.359758
2024-12-15 23.110269 49.235752 90.244261 154.385873 247.086250 371.130062 544.157363
2024-12-22 20.764067 46.799076 89.029474 156.649822 256.136646 391.092803 581.431548
2024-12-29 19.370854 45.928418 90.279046 162.759812 271.044210 419.650792 631.202764
2025-01-05 17.602076 44.145522 89.904221 166.342746 282.407873 443.644511 675.411687
2025-01-12 15.183250 40.771650 86.592435 165.125282 286.625920 457.778840 706.517027
2025-01-19 13.172737 37.880489 83.808922 164.496019 291.567039 472.917462 739.180788
2025-01-26 12.300734 37.229673 84.858613 170.038036 305.891537 501.568857 790.930112
2025-02-02 11.265611 36.059630 84.852590 173.779299 317.504248 526.512372 837.883766
2025-02-09 10.413348 35.162952 85.242619 178.126727 330.084270 552.998026 887.316001
2025-02-16 9.749237 34.605358 86.203936 183.436254 344.252960 582.001667 940.691676
2025-02-23 7.977379 30.975431 80.919315 177.653214 340.655940 584.825505 956.900029
2025-03-02 6.759089 28.492302 77.628964 175.108199 342.021813 594.863840 983.419142
2025-03-09 6.031159 27.198649 76.630862 176.568162 349.841790 614.597448 1024.106362